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Colombia 4.125% May 2051

Yield: 7.46%
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Bond information
Colombia
US195325DT91
Colombia Colombia
USD
Government/Municipal
4.13 %
Fixed
Semiannually
15-05-2026
04-06-2020
15-05-2051
200,000
1,036 mln
No
Premium
Senior
Yes
Next call date:
15-11-2050
Next call price:
100
Market
as of 13-03-2026 17:30 CET
Bid Offer
Price, % 61.08 Firm price 62.34 Firm price
Yield, % 7.62 7.46
Deposit spread, % 6.95 6.79
Tenor, years 25.19
Duration 12.53
Brokers Premium
About Colombia
Colombia is a mid-sized Latin American economy whose main strengths rest on a long democratic tradition, an independent central bank with a floating exchange rate, and a track record of weathering economic shocks without defaulting on its debt since 1983. The economy is export-oriented but heavily concentrated in hydrocarbons — oil and coal together dominate the export basket, making government revenues and the external balance sensitive to commodity price swings. Services, including tourism and corporate services, and agriculture (notably coffee and gold) provide some diversification. Real GDP grew 1,6% in 2024, and forecasts for 2025–2026 point to growth of around 2,5–2,9%, still below the historical trend of around 3%. The main concern for bond investors is the government's fiscal position, which has deteriorated steadily. The general government deficit reached 6,1% of GDP in 2024 and is projected to widen further to around 7,1% in 2025. Government debt has risen from 56,6% of GDP in 2023 to around 61,8% in 2024 and is expected to reach approximately 64–67% of GDP by 2027 — above the median for similarly rated countries. The interest burden is especially heavy: interest payments consumed around 17% of government revenues in 2024 and are projected to rise to around 18% in 2025, roughly double the median for comparable sovereigns. Around 32% of total government debt is in foreign currency, which makes the debt trajectory vulnerable to peso depreciation. On the external side, the current account deficit narrowed to about 1,8% of GDP in 2024 and is expected to widen to around 2,5–2,9% in 2025–2026, largely financed by foreign direct investment. Foreign reserves stood at around USD 62–64 billion, covering roughly seven months of payments. A key structural weakness is the limited ability to raise revenues and cut spending. Around 88% of government expenditure goes to wages, pensions, transfers, and interest — leaving little room to adjust. In 2025, the government suspended its fiscal rule for three years, citing an inability to meet the required adjustment. Congressional elections in early 2026 and presidential elections in mid-2026 add political uncertainty and reduce the chances of meaningful fiscal consolidation in the near term. S&P rates Colombia's long-term foreign currency debt BB with a Negative outlook. Fitch rates it BB with a Stable outlook. Moody's rates it Baa3 with a Stable outlook. publication date: 13-03-2026
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