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South Africa 7.95% Nov 2054

Yield: 7.7%
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Bond information
South Africa
XS2917537875
South Africa South Africa
USD
Government/Municipal
7.95 %
Fixed
Semiannually
19-05-2026
19-11-2024
19-11-2054
200,000
1,500 mln
No
Premium
Senior
No
Next call date:
Next call price:
Market
as of 13-03-2026 17:30 CET
Bid Offer
Price, % 101.15 Firm price 102.83 Firm price
Yield, % 7.85 7.7
Deposit spread, % 7.18 7.03
Tenor, years 28.7
Duration 11.31
Brokers Premium
About South Africa
South Africa is a mid-sized emerging market economy on the southern tip of Africa, with a population of around 60 million and a GDP of approximately $400 billion. The economy is one of the most industrialised on the continent, with strengths in mining and metals (gold, platinum, coal, copper), financial services, manufacturing, and agriculture. Exports of goods and services represent around 32% of GDP, with China and the United States being the two largest trading partners. The country operates a freely floating currency — the rand — and has a well-developed domestic capital market, an independent central bank, and a functioning legal system with strong checks and balances. These institutional features are relatively rare among emerging market peers and provide important buffers against economic shocks. Economic growth is the central weakness. Real GDP expanded by just 0,5% in 2024 and is projected to reach around 1,1% in 2025, rising gradually to around 1,5% on average over 2026–2028. Unemployment stands at 33%, among the highest in the world, and per capita GDP growth has been negative or near-zero for several years. Growth is constrained by long-standing infrastructure problems — particularly in electricity supply and rail logistics — as well as deep inequality and weak private investment. Since 2023, electricity load-shedding has improved markedly, and the state utility Eskom posted its first profit in eight years. Rail and port operator Transnet remains troubled, though private sector operators have been shortlisted to assist. A coalition government formed after the May 2024 elections has maintained reform momentum under its "Operation Vulindlela" programme, focusing on electricity, logistics, water, and digital infrastructure. On public finances, the government deficit is forecast at around 4,7% of GDP in the fiscal year ending March 2026, narrowing to around 3,3% by fiscal 2028. Gross government debt reached approximately 79% of GDP in fiscal 2025 and is expected to stabilise near that level before declining gradually toward 77% by 2028. Importantly, around 89% of government debt is denominated in local currency, which limits the country's sensitivity to exchange rate moves. Interest payments consume around 18–19% of government revenues — a meaningful burden. Contingent liabilities from state-owned enterprises add risk: government guarantees to SOEs stood at around 8,6% of GDP as of March 2025, with Eskom and Transnet as the largest exposures. On the external side, the current account deficit is small, at around 0,7% of GDP in 2024, and South Africa is a net external creditor, with net external assets of around 71% of GDP. Foreign currency reserves cover approximately 5 months of imports. South Africa is rated BB by S&P (outlook positive), BB- by Fitch (outlook stable), and Ba2 by Moody's (outlook stable). Publication date: 13-03-2026
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