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Nissan 6.375% Jul 2033

Yield: 6.11%
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Bond information
Nissan
XS2999659886
Japan Japan
EUR
Automobiles & Auto Parts
6.38 %
Fixed
Annually
17-07-2026
17-07-2025
17-07-2033
100,000
500 mln
No
Premium
Senior
Yes
Next call date:
17-05-2033
Next call price:
100
Market
as of 13-03-2026 17:30 CET
Bid Offer
Price, % 100.09 Firm price 101.47 Firm price
Yield, % 6.35 6.11
Deposit spread, % 4.65 4.41
Tenor, years 7.35
Duration 5.45
Brokers Premium
About Nissan
Nissan Motor Co., Ltd. is one of Japan's largest car makers, with a global presence spanning major markets including North America, China, Europe, and Japan. The company sells vehicles under the Nissan and INFINITI brands. North America is its single largest region by volume, accounting for roughly 1,3 million units out of a total 3,2 million expected for fiscal year 2025 (ending March 2026), or about 41% of global sales. China, historically a key growth market, represents around 20% of volumes. Nissan's business is a single-segment automotive operation — there is no meaningful non-automotive revenue stream that would meet a 20% contribution threshold, so the credit story is entirely tied to car manufacturing and sales. The core credit challenge is a prolonged profitability squeeze. The automotive operating margin turned negative in fiscal 2025, standing at –0,5% for the full year outlook, compared to +0,6% in fiscal 2024. Free cash flow in the automotive division was –¥691 billion for the nine months to December 2025, with net cash in that division down to roughly ¥958 billion from ¥1,5 trillion at the start of fiscal 2025. The main pressure points are an ageing model lineup losing ground in both the US and China, high sales incentive costs, and US import tariffs estimated to cost ¥275 billion in fiscal 2025 alone. The EBITDA margin is projected to recover only to around 1% in fiscal 2026 and roughly 3% by fiscal 2027, which remains well below the 5–8% range of similarly rated peers such as Renault or Volvo Car. To address these pressures, Nissan launched its Re:Nissan restructuring plan, targeting ¥500 billion in total cost savings — split between variable cost reductions of ~¥240 billion and fixed cost savings targeting over ¥250 billion by fiscal 2026. Fixed-cost savings have already reached ¥160 billion ahead of plan, achieved through consolidation of 7 manufacturing sites, workforce resizing, outsourcing, and engineering efficiency improvements (cost-per-hour down 15%, targeting 20%). New model launches — including the refreshed LEAF, Roox, Teana Huawei in China, and the Frontier Pro PHEV — show early market traction, though their volume contribution remains limited for now. Liquidity is supported by ¥2,15 trillion in automotive cash and ¥2,58 trillion in unused credit lines, which provides a buffer while the restructuring plays out. The key risks for bond investors centre on execution: whether cost savings materialise on schedule, whether new models restore volumes and pricing power, and whether US tariffs persist at current levels or worsen. If the recovery falls short, automotive free cash flow could stay negative beyond fiscal 2026, further eroding the net cash buffer that currently underpins the credit. Nissan holds the following credit ratings on its senior unsecured debt: S&P rates the company BB– with a negative outlook; Moody's rates it Ba2 with a negative outlook; Fitch rates it BB with a negative outlook. All three agencies share the view that near-term improvement in profitability and free cash flow is uncertain, and further downgrades remain possible if the restructuring does not deliver as planned. publication date: 13-03-2026
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