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03.11.2025
Upcoming German Bund Auction: What Retail Investors Should Know
Upcoming German Bund Auction: What Retail Investors Should Know
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Next week’s German Bund issuance could offer a rare glimpse into how investors truly feel about Europe’s interest rate outlook. Analysts are watching closely for signs of softening appetite or renewed confidence in Germany’s bond market. Retail investors may want to pay attention - timing could matter more than usual.

The German Government has scheduled a multi-ISIN auction next week: on 4 November 2025 a reopening (tap) of the Schatz (short-dated Treasury note) is planned, and on 5 November 2025 two Bund reopenings are scheduled - each €1.0 billion taps of the existing 2041 (ISIN DE000BU2F009, coupon 2.60%) and the 2044 (ISIN DE0001135481, coupon 2.50%).

Analysts’ consensus is straightforward: higher net supply from Germany has the potential to push the Bund term-premium and long yields higher. Societe Générale’s rates team has warned that the 10-year Bund term premium could rise by roughly 25-55 bps by end-2026, arguing that “the market’s pricing perception of duration risk in the eurozone remains low” and that rising issuance will be a driver.

At the same time, auction history shows German taps usually draw solid demand - previous 10-year reopenings have delivered bid-to-cover ratios around 2.0-2.2x. Recent 10-year Bund yields traded in the 2.6% area, after a softer October that briefly eased yields.

Bondfish opinion

Bunds remain the eurozone’s core safe-asset. The upcoming auctions are routine, but matter, because they can create short-lived price weakness if demand disappoints. So, if you are a short-to-medium-term tactical investor (horizon weeks–months), buying after the tap lets you see the bid-to-cover and pick a cleaner entry.

This article does not constitute investment advice or personal recommendation. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Bondfish does not recommend using the data and information provided as the only basis for making any investment decision. You should not make any investment decisions without first conducting your own research and considering your own financial situation.
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