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27.09.2026
Weekly bond digest: September 21 – September 27, 2026
Weekly bond digest: September 21 – September 27, 2026
19

Yield Curves

German 10-year yields rose 8 basis points to 3.60%, while two-year yields were unchanged. Business surveys for September came in stronger than expected, showing the euro area economy is coping with high energy prices. That keeps pressure on the European Central Bank, and markets now see roughly even odds of another rate rise in October. Swings in oil prices, including talk of a possible US ban on diesel exports, added to inflation worries. French bonds did worse than German ones. The gap between their 10-year yields hit its widest since 2012 after France raised its deficit forecast.

EUR Germany Sovereign Curve

US Treasury yields jumped again, with the 10-year up 17 basis points to 5.16% and the 30-year at 5.49%. September business surveys were far stronger than expected, with the best reading since mid-2021, and fewer people claimed jobless benefits. This convinced investors that the Federal Reserve, which started raising rates this month, has more hikes to come. Markets now expect about four more. Lukewarm demand at Treasury auctions added to the pressure, and the five-year yield briefly topped 5% for the first time since 2007.

USD US Sovereign Curve

Short-dated UK yields barely moved, but longer gilts fell with the global sell-off. The 10-year yield rose 7 basis points to 5.36%, and the 30-year rose 10. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said it is getting harder to keep rates on hold. Markets now see a rate rise in November as very likely. UK business surveys were actually weaker than expected, and government borrowing in August came in above forecasts, which did not help long-dated gilts.

GBP UK Sovereign Curve

Medium-term government bonds now look attractive for patient investors who can ride out short-term swings, though there is no clear trigger for a rally yet.

Top gainers

Gains were modest in a tough week for bonds. The top of the list was led by euro bonds with low coupons that mature around 2030 and 2031. Swedish medical supplies group Mölnlycke rose about 2%, followed by Dutch housing investor Vesteda and German development bank KfW. In dollars, HAT Holdings, the funding arm of US climate investor HASI, gained 1.5%.

Name Cur Price change
1w(%)
Yield Risk Level
Molnlycke Holding 0.625% Jan 2031 EUR 2,12% 3,31% Medium
Vesteda Finance 0.75% Oct 2031 EUR 1,93% 3,72% Low
Hat Hldg 1 3.75% Sep 2030 USD 1,53% 5,53% Medium
KFW 0.375% Apr 2030 EUR 1,38% 3,10% Very Low
Discovery Com 4.125% May 2029 USD 1,38% 7,59% High
EIB 0.25% Sep 2029 EUR 1,25% 3,05% Very Low
CoreWeave 9.25% Jun 2030 USD 1,11% 11,12% Very High
Starz Capital 5.5% Apr 2029 USD 1,01% 11,04% Very High
Slovenia 1.188% Mar 2029 EUR 0,87% 2,91% Low
Slovenia 0.275% Jan 2030 EUR 0,85% 3,15% Low

Top losers

The biggest fallers were mostly very long-dated US corporate bonds, which lose the most value when yields rise. Oracle's 2064 bond led the list with a drop of almost 5%, and Comcast's 2055 bond lost more than 4%. Paramount's 2032 bond fell 4.4% as the company lined up about $52 billion of new debt to pay for its takeover of Warner Bros. Discovery. Kyndryl fell in a week when it sold $1 billion of new bonds at yields close to 8%. In euros, Swedish property group Heimstaden dropped 4.6% as riskier European credit weakened.

Name Cur Price change
1w(%)
Yield Risk Level
Oracle 5.5% Sep 2064 USD -4,76% 8,16% Medium
Heimstaden 7.361% Jan 2031 EUR -4,58% 9,34% Very High
Paramount Global 4.2% May 2032 USD -4,42% 8,25% High
Comcast 6.05% May 2055 USD -4,38% 7,19% Low
Kyndryl Holdings 4.1% Oct 2041 USD -4,10% 7,89% Medium
Oracle 5.375% Sep 2054 USD -3,93% 8,12% Medium
Charter Commn 6.484% Oct 2045 USD -3,90% 8,16% Medium
Glencore Fndg 3.375% Sep 2051 USD -3,90% 6,51% Medium
Mexico 5.75% Oct 2110 USD -3,90% 7,67% Medium
Oracle 6.125% Aug 2065 USD -3,85% 8,25% Medium

Rating changes

Note: only long-term senior unsecured ratings were taken into account.

Upgrades outnumbered downgrades this week, 21 to 16. Fitch raised Asia-focused insurer Prudential to AA-, and S&P lifted Swiss skincare group Galderma to BBB+. Fitch also upgraded Sri Lanka to B-. On the downside, S&P cut Paramount Skydance to BB ahead of its debt-funded takeover of Warner Bros. Discovery, and Moody's lowered packaging maker Mondi to Baa2.

Issuer Agency Change
Advancion S&P CC → D
Air Baltic Fitch CC → D
Atlas CC S&P CCC → D
AZZ S&P BB- → BB
BAC International Bank Fitch BB+ → BBB-
Bank Gospodarstwa Krajowego Moody's A2 → A3
Bending Spoons S&P B+ → BB-
Berlinovo S&P A- → A
Bosideng Moody's Baa3 → Baa2
Botswana Moody's Baa1 → Baa2
Cable One S&P BB- → B+
CITIC Moody's A3 → A2
Digital Realty Trust Moody's Baa2 → Baa1
Eversholt UK Rails Fitch BBB → BBB-
Galderma S&P BBB → BBB+
HealthEquity S&P BB → BB+
Hoya Midco S&P B- → CCC
Innio Fitch B+ → BB
June Purchaser S&P B → B+
Latam Airlines S&P BB → BB+
LBM Acquisition S&P B- → CCC+
LEG Immobilien Moody's Baa2 → Baa1
Liberty Servicios Fijos S&P B+ → BB-
Mineral Resources Fitch BB- → BB
Mondi Moody's Baa1 → Baa2
Montenegro Moody's Ba3 → Ba2
Notting Hill Genesis S&P A- → BBB+
ONEOK S&P BBB → BBB+
Paramount Skydance S&P BB+ → BB
PKO Bank Hipoteczny Moody's A3 → Baa1
Prudential Fitch A+ → AA-
Rithm Capital S&P B → B+
Saavi Energia Fitch BB- → BB+
Smokey Topco S&P B- → CCC+
Sri Lanka Fitch CCC+ → B-
Stonepeak Nile Parent Fitch BB+ → BB
Zorlu Enerji Fitch B+ → B-

New issues

New bond sales stayed busy, even as higher yields made borrowing more expensive. From this week, the table shows only bonds sold in small lots, with a minimum investment of 2,000 or less in the bond's currency. Deals sold only in large blocks, or only to big US institutional investors, are left out. Food distributor Sysco sold about $11 billion of dollar bonds, and Italy raised €8 billion with a new 12-year bond. The Asian Development Bank sold $5 billion of bonds and German development bank KfW sold €3 billion. Nuveen sold $2 billion of dollar bonds to help fund its takeover of UK fund manager Schroders. In the US, companies sold about $33 billion of bonds, less than dealers expected, and some had to offer extra yield to get deals done.

Issuer Size Term Yield Risk Level
Alchemy Merger Sub USD
0,94bn
7Y 7,4% Very High
ISIN (CUSIP)
USU0R02KAA95
 
ALLETE USD
0,35bn
10Y 5,9% Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
018522AD4
 
AltaGas Services U.S. USD
0,75bn
5Y 5,8% Medium
ISIN (CUSIP)
USU0203NAA91
 
Asian Development Bank USD
5,0bn
3–7Y 5,0–5,1% Very Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
US045167GV92…US045167GW75
 
Brookfield Finance USD
0,60bn
5Y 5,7% Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
US11271LAR33
 
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce USD
1,3bn
4Y FLOAT Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
US13607Q7T38…US13607Q7U01
 
CenterPoint Energy Houston Electric USD
0,70bn
5Y 5,4% Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
US15189XBM92
 
DDC 01 Propco USD
1,1bn
5Y 9,3% High
ISIN (CUSIP)
USU24028AA74
 
Dick's Sporting Goods USD
1,0bn
10–30Y 6,2–6,9% Medium
ISIN (CUSIP)
US253393AK89…US253393AL62
 
Dominion Energy South Carolina USD
0,30bn
30Y 6,2% Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
US25731VAD64
 
Italy EUR
8,0bn
12Y 4,5% Medium
ISIN (CUSIP)
IT0005733099
 
KfW EUR
3,0bn
6Y 3,5% Very Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3166721913
 
Kyndryl Holdings USD
1,0bn
3–5Y 7,9–8,2% Medium
ISIN (CUSIP)
US50155QAP54…US50155QAQ38
 
Millrose Properties USD
1,0bn
3–5Y 6,5% High
ISIN (CUSIP)
USU6006UAE11
 
Nuveen USD
2,0bn
3–10Y 5,6–6,1% Medium
ISIN (CUSIP)
USU6702LAD02…USU6702LAF59
 
OpenText USD
1,0bn
5–7Y 6,7–7,2% Medium
ISIN (CUSIP)
US683715AG19…USC69827AG58
 
Province of San Juan USD
0,60bn
9Y 9,9% Very High
ISIN (CUSIP)
P84469AC2
 
PSEG Power USD
0,40bn
5Y 5,6% Medium
ISIN (CUSIP)
USU7444PAK67
 
State of Baden-Wuerttemberg EUR
0,60bn
10Y 3,7% Very Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
DE000A3H26C0
 
State of Brandenburg EUR
0,75bn
4Y 3,7% Very Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
DE000A351UV1
 
State of Lower Saxony EUR
0,50bn
10Y FLOAT, +20bp Very Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
DE000A5GS3X8
 
Stonepeak Nile Parent USD
0,12bn
5Y 7,2% High
ISIN (CUSIP)
USU85907AA89
 
Sysco USD
10,8bn
3–40Y 5,5–6,6% Medium
ISIN (CUSIP)
87183XAA1…87183XAG8
 
Sysco Holdings USD
3,9bn
30Y 7,1–7,3% High
ISIN (CUSIP)
US87183XAH61…US87183XAK90
 
Toronto-Dominion Bank USD
3,8bn
2–10Y 5,2–5,8%; FLOAT Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
US89115KAU43…US89115KAX81
 
Vista Energy Argentina USD
0,40bn
12Y 8,0% High
ISIN (CUSIP)
USP9659RAD00
 
This article does not constitute investment advice or personal recommendation. Investments in securities and other financial instruments always involve the risk of loss of your capital. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Bondfish does not recommend using the data and information provided as the only basis for making any investment decision. You should not make any investment decisions without first conducting your own research and considering your own financial situation.