Publication date: 25-07-2025
Ecopetrol is Colombia’s largest oil and gas company. It covers over half of the country’s oil production and owns all of its refining capacity. The company is involved in oil exploration, production, refining, electricity transmission, and infrastructure, both in Colombia and abroad.
The Colombian government owns nearly 89% of Ecopetrol and is expected to support the company in case of financial trouble. This strong link gives investors extra confidence. Ecopetrol doesn’t rely only on oil – just over half of its earnings come from oil production, while the rest comes from more stable businesses like pipelines and electricity networks.
In the first quarter of 2025, Ecopetrol’s earnings were lower due to weaker oil prices and slower demand at home. Still, oil production increased slightly, and the company maintained healthy reserves with a reserve life of 7,6 years. Its debt level is moderate – gross debt is 2,2 times higher than its earnings before interest and taxes. The company expects to break even in cash terms if Brent oil prices stay around USD 55 per barrel.
Politics in Colombia play a role. The government recently suspended its fiscal rules and started spending more ahead of elections. This raises concerns among investors, as Colombia now has one of the highest debt levels in Latin America. Since Ecopetrol is owned by the government, it’s affected by these policies. The government has also influenced the company’s dividend payments and strategic decisions, though no major changes are expected for now.
The bond due in 2033 is almost fully non-callable, offering stable income through maturity. It currently trades at a yield premium over Colombian sovereign bonds, which creates potential opportunities for capital gains should the premium compress.
as of 31.03.2025 USD bn
Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 | Column 4 | Column 5 | Column 6 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Assets | 68,4 | EBITDA Margin | 39 % | CFO/Debt | 33 % |
Revenue | 32,3 | Net debt | 24 | FCF | 4,8 |
EBITDA | 12,7 | Net Debt/EBITDA | 2x | Equity | 25,0 |
Net Profit | 3,7 | EBITDA/Interest | 9x | Debt/Equity | 1,1x |
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