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12.07.2026
Weekly Bond Digest: July 6–12, 2026 | Bondfish
Weekly Bond Digest: July 6–12, 2026 | Bondfish
30

Yield Curves

German government bond yields rose across the whole curve this week. The trigger was a fresh flare-up in US–Iran tensions, which pushed energy prices and inflation worries back to the front of investors’ minds. That prompted a broad sell-off in government bonds, lifting the 10-year Bund yield about 13 basis points to just above 3%. The move was fairly even across maturities, with the 2-year and 5-year also up around 11 basis points. With the risk of a bigger energy shock seen as contained, yields settled near the top of their recent range rather than breaking out.

EUR Germany Sovereign Curve

US Treasury yields climbed too, for much the same reason. Renewed Middle East tensions revived inflation concerns and led investors to trim bets on near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts. The 10-year yield rose about 8 basis points to 4.56%, while shorter maturities moved up a touch more. Minutes from the last Fed meeting added little new direction. Long-dated yields stayed high, partly because rising Japanese government yields have kept upward pressure on global long-term rates.

USD US Sovereign Curve

UK gilt yields followed the same global pattern, rising 9 to 11 basis points across most of the curve. The energy-driven jump in inflation expectations was the main driver here as well. On top of that, gilts still carry a small extra yield premium tied to uncertainty about the UK’s medium-term public finances. The 10-year gilt yield ended the week near 4.88%.

GBP UK Sovereign Curve

The current preference is to lean into European government bonds — both German Bunds and UK gilts — on the view that this yield spike fades as energy risks stay contained, favouring European bonds over their US equivalents.

Top gainers

This week’s biggest gainers were concentrated in shorter-dated and higher-yielding bonds, which were largely shielded from the sell-off at the long end of the curve. Ukraine’s sovereign bonds led the way, with Ukraine 0% 2036 and Ukraine 4.5% 2034 both rising around 2% and Ukraine 4.5% 2035 close behind. The high-yield People US 7.625% 2032 also featured near the top. Steady demand for income helped these prices push higher even as government yields rose.

Name Cur Price change
1w(%)
Yield Risk Level
Ukraine 0% Feb 2036 USD 2,53% 9,65% VeryHigh
Ukraine 4.5% Feb 2034 USD 1,98% 11,23% VeryHigh
People US 7.625% Jun 2032 USD 1,94% 8,20% VeryHigh
Ukraine 4.5% Feb 2035 USD 1,58% 11,31% VeryHigh
Alliant En Fin 5.4% Jun 2027 USD 1,34% 2,77% Medium
KFW 1% Oct 2026 USD 1,27% -1,71% VeryLow
Adecoagro 7.5% Jul 2032 USD 1,24% 8,23% VeryHigh
Southern Co Gas 6% Oct 2034 USD 1,20% 4,99% Medium
RELIANCE STANDARD LIFE 2.75% Jan 2027 USD 1,19% 2,52% Low
Beazer Homes USA 7.5% Mar 2031 USD 1,18% 6,73% VeryHigh

Top losers

The losers were almost all very long-dated, high-quality corporate bonds — the part of the market most sensitive to rising long-term yields. Amazon.com 4.1% 2062, Meta Platforms 5.4% 2054 and Meta Platforms 5.6% 2053 all fell around 4%, along with Amazon.com 4.25% 2057. A wave of fresh long-dated supply from these same issuers added to the pressure on their existing bonds. The single worst performer was CSN Inova 6.75% 2028, down more than 5% on company-specific concerns.

Name Cur Price change
1w(%)
Yield Risk Level
CSN Inova 6.75% Jan 2028 USD -5,34% 24,21% VeryHigh
Amazon.com 4.1% Apr 2062 USD -4,33% 6,13% VeryLow
Meta Platforms 5.4% Aug 2054 USD -4,15% 6,58% VeryLow
Meta Platforms 5.6% May 2053 USD -4,12% 6,60% VeryLow
Amazon.com 4.25% Aug 2057 USD -4,11% 6,12% VeryLow
Oracle 5.375% Sep 2054 USD -4,06% 7,55% Medium
Oracle 6% Aug 2055 USD -4,03% 7,58% Medium
Oracle 5.55% Feb 2053 USD -3,95% 7,57% Medium
Meta Platforms 5.55% Aug 2064 USD -3,94% 6,75% VeryLow
Oracle 4% Nov 2047 USD -3,89% 7,37% Medium

Rating changes

Note: only long-term senior unsecured ratings were taken into account.

Upgrades outnumbered downgrades this week, 17 to 13. The standout upgrade was Syngenta, lifted two notches to A-, alongside a one-notch rise for Spanish lender CaixaBank to A+. On the downside, Oracle slipped one step to BBB-, keeping it only just inside investment grade, while Harley-Davidson was cut to BB+ and now sits in high-yield territory. Cosmetics group Coty was also downgraded a notch.

Issuer Agency Change
Andre Maggi Participacoes Fitch BB- → B+
Athletico S&P CCC+ → CC
Banistmo Fitch BB+ → BB
Banque Tuniso-Koweitienne de Developpement Fitch CCC- → CCC
BWX Technologies S&P BB → BB+
CaixaBank Fitch A → A+
Century Communities S&P BB → BB-
CNPC Finance HK Moody's A2 → A1
Cosan S&P BB- → B+
Coty S&P BB+ → BB
E.Sun Financial Moody's A2 → A3
First Bancorp Fitch BB+ → BBB-
FS Bioenergia Fitch BB- → B+
Harley-Davidson S&P BBB- → BB+
Intermediate Dutch S&P B → B+
JSW Steel Fitch BB → BB+
Kawasan Industri Jababeka Tbk PT Fitch B- → B
Navoiyuran State Enterprise S&P BB- → BB
NES Fircroft Bondco S&P B+ → B
Oracle S&P BBB → BBB-
Padagis Fitch B+ → B
Popular Fitch BBB- → BBB
Poseidon Bidco SASU S&P SD → CCC-
Quincy Health S&P SD → CCC-
Sinopec Century Bright Capital Investment Moody's A2 → A1
Syngenta Fitch BBB → A-
Syniverse S&P B- → CCC
Tianjin Rail Transit S&P BBB+ (new)
Uzauto Motors AJ Fitch BB- → BB
Watergate Software S&P BB → BB+

New issues

Primary markets were exceptionally busy. The headline deal came from Amazon, which returned with a jumbo, multi-part offering stretching from 2 to 40 years across both dollars and euros. Governments and agencies were also active, including a large European Union dual-tranche sale, new KfW dollar bonds and a three-part Italy dollar deal. Utilities and banks rounded out the supply, with names such as Enel, TenneT and Accenture all tapping the market. Demand was firm throughout, and strong fund inflows into both investment-grade and high-yield credit helped absorb the heavy issuance.

Issuer Size Term Yield Risk Level
Accenture Capital USD
5,0bn
3–10Y 4,8–5,6%; FLOAT Very Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
US00440KAF03…US00440KAJ25
 
Action Logement Services EUR
0,80bn
10Y 4,1% Very High
ISIN (CUSIP)
FR0014019WJ9
 
Agence Francaise de Developpement EUR
1,0bn
15Y 4,4% Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
FR0014019UO3
 
Air Philippines USD
0,30bn
5Y 8,0% High
ISIN (CUSIP)
USG7261AAA72
 
Ajman Tier 1 Sukuk USD
0,30bn
PERP 6,5% Very High
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3310391878
 
Amazon EUR
3,0bn
2Y 2,8%; FLOAT, +35bp Very Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3317524950
 
Amazon USD
147,7bn
2–40Y, PERP 1,1–80,8%; FLOAT Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
US023135CD60…US023135EH56
 
Anglian Water Services Financing GBP
0,15bn
7Y 5,4% Medium
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3225307902
 
Aroundtown EUR
0,85bn
5Y 4,2% Very High
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3440165937
 
Autozone USD
0,85bn
5Y 5,0% Medium
ISIN (CUSIP)
US053332BN18
 
Babcock International Group GBP
0,25bn
5Y 5,2% Very High
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3437585022
 
Bank Of Montreal USD
2,0bn
3Y 4,4% Very Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
USC0623PJD18
 
Bank Pekao EUR
0,50bn
11Y 4,3% Very High
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3438593926
 
Banque Federative Du Credit Mutuel USD
3,2bn
3–6Y 4,8–5,2%; FLOAT Very Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
06675DCW0
 
State of Berlin EUR
0,50bn
7Y 3,0% Very Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
DE000A4DE9P1
 
Bpifrance EUR
1,5bn
7Y 3,4% Very Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
FR0014019RX0
 
Bulgaria EUR
2,5bn
6–19Y 3,5–4,7% Medium
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS2890420834…XS3124393367
 
Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce USD
0,50bn
61Y 6,8% Medium
ISIN (CUSIP)
US13607Q7E68
 
Cirsa Finance EUR
0,50bn
6Y 4,6% High
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3436174372
 
Commercial Bank of Dubai USD
0,60bn
PERP 6,6% Very High
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3323686728
 
Deere Funding Canada USD
0,30bn
5Y 4,9% Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
US2442GAAB82
 
Deutsche Bank EUR
1,0bn
6Y 3,7% Medium
ISIN (CUSIP)
DE000A5GS0P0
 
Enel Finance International USD
2,5bn
3–10Y 4,7–5,5% Medium
ISIN (CUSIP)
USN3070QAE63…USN3070QAG12
 
Energy Transfer USD
1,8bn
30–31Y 6,5–6,7% Medium
ISIN (CUSIP)
US29273VBM19
 
European Financial Stability Facility EUR
2,5bn
4Y 3,0% Very Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
EU000A2SCAJ7
 
European Outlet Mall Venture EUR
0,75bn
5Y 4,3% Medium
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3415298838
 
European Union EUR
11,0bn
5–20Y 2,9–4,0% Very Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
EU000A4EXVK3…EU000A4ES497
 
Figure Technologies USD
0,60bn
5Y 8,5% Very High
ISIN (CUSIP)
USU3170FAA94
 
Fr Midco EUR
0,78bn
6Y FLOAT, +300bp Very High
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3439943203
 
Fubon Bank (Hong Kong) USD
0,30bn
10Y 5,5% Very High
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3420731666
 
Guardian Life Global Funding USD
0,70bn
3Y 4,7% Very Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
40139MBS9
 
Hungary EUR
1,5bn
11Y 4,3% Medium
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3435288769
 
Intercorp Peru USD
0,30bn
PERP 5,7% Medium
ISIN (CUSIP)
USP5625XAD68
 
International Finance EUR
1,0bn
7Y 3,1% Very Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3440163569
 
International Finance USD
2,0bn
5Y 4,3% Very Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
USU4R844FS44
 
Italy USD
6,0bn
5–30Y 4,6–6,1% Medium
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3441656454…XS3441656702
 
Jefferies Financial Group EUR
0,85bn
7Y 4,5% Medium
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3435704575
 
KfW USD
6,0bn
3–7Y 4,3–4,5% Very Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
US500769KR49…US500769KS22
 
Korea East West Power USD
0,50bn
6Y 4,8% Very High
ISIN (CUSIP)
HK0001319182
 
South Korea EUR
1,7bn
3–7Y 3,0–3,3% Very Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3437347431…XS3437347787
 
KT Corp USD
0,50bn
3Y 4,7% Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
USY49915BF08
 
Lloyds Bank Corporate Markets EUR
0,50bn
5Y 3,4% Very Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3435287365
 
Loxam EUR
1,1bn
5–6Y 4,6–5,0% Very High
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3439957682…XS3439957849
 
MBH Bank EUR
0,50bn
6Y 5,5% High
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3433787341
 
Mediocredito Centrale EUR
0,50bn
6Y 3,8% Very High
ISIN (CUSIP)
IT0005723066
 
Mileway EUR
1,5bn
4–7Y 4,0–4,4% Medium
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3439307045…XS34393071283
 
National Grid North America EUR
1,3bn
5–11Y 3,6–4,3% Medium
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3441767442…XS3441768093
 
Nationwide Building Society USD
1,8bn
6–11Y 5,1–5,5% Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
USG6398ADF15…USG6398ADG97
 
NRW Bank EUR
1,0bn
10Y 3,4% Very Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
DE000NWB0B24
 
Province of Ontario EUR
2,0bn
10Y 3,5% Very Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3440171075
 
Paragon Bank GBP
0,50bn
3Y FLOAT, +50bp Very Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3432918335
 
Prosus USD
1,6bn
7–10Y 5,5–5,9% Medium
ISIN (CUSIP)
USN7163RBG76…USN7163RBH59
 
Protective Life Global Funding USD
0,35bn
3Y 4,8% Very Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
74368ECC2
 
PSP Capital GBP
0,60bn
5Y 4,5% Very Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3439216246
 
Public Storage Operating USD
0,90bn
6–10Y 4,8–5,3% Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
74464AAG6…74464AAH4
 
Royal Bank Of Canada USD
2,3bn
3–6Y 4,7–5,0%; FLOAT Very Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
US78017DAX66
 
SESI USD
0,20bn
PERP 7,7% Very High
ISIN (CUSIP)
USU8151EAH90
 
Sixt EUR
0,50bn
4Y 3,8% Very High
ISIN (CUSIP)
DE000A46Z700
 
South West Water Finance GBP
0,35bn
9–15Y 3,8–6,1% Medium
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3441669275…XS3433852269
 
SRC Sukuk USD
2,8bn
6–10Y 5,1–5,5% Very Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3422176308…XS3422176480
 
State Of Rhineland Palatinate EUR
0,50bn
2Y 2,8% Very Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
DE000RLP1692
 
Sunbelt Rentals Holdings USD
1,2bn
4–10Y 5,1–5,8% Medium
ISIN (CUSIP)
866966AB0…866966AA2
 
TenneT EUR
3,5bn
4–20Y 3,3–4,7% Medium
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3433863621…XS3433864355
 
Tesco Corporate Treasury Services EUR
0,50bn
8Y 3,8% Medium
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3437614228
 
Toyota Motor Credit USD
1,6bn
3–7Y 4,5–5,0%; FLOAT Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
US89236TQD09…US89236TQF56
 
Trinidad & Tobago USD
0,80bn
12Y 6,3% High
ISIN (CUSIP)
USP93960AM75
 
United States Steel USD
1,2bn
5Y 5,2–5,7% Medium
ISIN (CUSIP)
USU9118RAC17…USU9118RAD99
 
Vesteda EUR
0,50bn
4Y 3,8% Low
ISIN (CUSIP)
XS3441750711
 
This article does not constitute investment advice or personal recommendation. Investments in securities and other financial instruments always involve the risk of loss of your capital. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Bondfish does not recommend using the data and information provided as the only basis for making any investment decision. You should not make any investment decisions without first conducting your own research and considering your own financial situation.